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Major Storm in the West


Timeless

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Look at this NWS forecast : this is for as close to Granite Chief at Squaw as it will allow me to select, but still only at 7000ft.

 

Friday: A chance of snow showers before 10am, then snow showers likely and areas of blowing snow after 10am. Cloudy, with a temperature rising to near 37 by noon, then falling to around 28 during the remainder of the day. Breezy, with a southwest wind between 26 and 28 mph, with gusts as high as 39 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.

 

Friday Night: Snow and areas of blowing snow. Low around 23. Breezy, with a southwest wind between 18 and 24 mph, with gusts as high as 44 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 8 to 12 inches possible.

 

Saturday: Snow and areas of blowing snow. High near 28. Southwest wind between 16 and 18 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 9 to 13 inches possible.

 

Saturday Night: Snow showers and areas of blowing snow. Low around 13. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 10 to 16 inches possible.

 

Sunday: Snow showers and areas of blowing snow. High near 23. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 12 to 18 inches possible.

 

Sunday Night: Snow showers and areas of blowing snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 12.

 

Monday: Areas of blowing snow and a chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 23.

 

This could be a record breaking November storm.

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Whoa. We've got snow predictions like crazy here, but nothing that high. Of course, the actual results of what we GET are usually below the predictions, so I'd halve their total. We were supposed to get 4 to 8 at the house (point forecast) on Tuesday, but I think it was more like two. Then the next day we were supposed to get the same, I think we got 4.

 

The mountain at least is claiming a nice base, 30 inches at the summit, 15 inches on the back side base, 99% due to real snow, not snowmaking, because we don't have much snow making here. Considering they won't open for another three weeks and we're supposed to get (up there) 27 inches between now and the end of Saturday, we're looking pretty good. That's followed by single digit days, so it's not going to all melt off.

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Timeless you riding somewhere this weekend?

 

Northstar on Thursday and Squaw on Friday, snow is supposed to stop on Wednesday, blue skies and 30 degrees for a couple of days and then another storm at the weekend. Maybe my only riding in the US until christmas, going to europe (work) for 2 weeks in december so am going to the austrian Alps for the weekend i'm stuck over there.

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Good point. 8ft of dry loose snow on top of a thin crust that was down before this, not a good recipe for stable snowpack.

 

 

At least it's right side up.

 

Its probably actually fine for the most part, that's alot of snow but its very dry snow for the Tahoe area and the lack of a base actually helps you in a storm like this. The snow from this has and will continue to consolidate at a pretty decent pace but with the relatively steady temps you won't see facet growth. The pace of the snowfall means the pack won't be able to support the load up so quickly on steep shit and the high intensity winds would create some crazy wind slab above tree line. What you don't want is that shit to sit around for along time with no new action, then it would be like a Colorado snowpack. lulz

 

Most stuff in the trees at a reasonable angel (30ish or less) on a non-north/east aspect would be fine.

 

BTW Squaw SNOTEL is showing 39 on the ground with consolidation, at that elevation they will probably pick up 18-24 today and tonight and end up with a total snowpack of around 4/4.5 feet which is alot less than 8ft.

 

South of the lake is reporting less with the Heavenly station showing 32" on the ground.

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Glenn u get a pass at Bridger Bowl? They open Friday.

 

Gallatin and the surrounding area are in worse shape, the base layers has a nice bond but there is a shit layer from snow that sat, this layer is now three to four feet and has let some big slides rip at Big Sky on Northern aspects. Add in a serious sustained wind and that's a more complicated situation.

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